Funds That Win In Falling Markets

Funds That Win In Falling Markets
News

Funds That Win In Falling Markets

Unnerved by erratic markets, investors have been dumping stock mutual funds and shifting to bonds. That approach could provide protection in a downturn. But big fixed-income holdings could drag down results if stocks rally.

An alternative strategy for wary investors is to try one of the handful of flexible funds that can shift allocations. The flexible managers emphasize stocks in good times and take shelter in fixed income when conditions look risky. Funds that shift allocations include Osterweis Strategic Investment (OSTVX), Stadion Managed Portfolio (ETFFX) and Virtus Premium AlphaSector (VAPAX). The flexible portfolio managers don’t always make the right calls. But because they tend to excel in downturns, the funds can help to diversify portfolios.

Osterweis Strategic Investment holds from 25% to 75% of its assets in stocks. When portfolio manager John Osterweis has no strong views on the market, he keeps 50% to 60% in equities. These days the fund has less than 50% in stocks. “We are cautious because the economic recovery is likely to be less robust than people thought,” he says.

While Osterweis Strategic Investment only started in 2010, there is good reason to believe that it can succeed over the long term. The portfolio is a combination of two older funds – Osterweis (OSTFX) , a stock fund, and Osterweis Strategic Income (OSTIX), a multisector bond fund. Both the veteran funds have strong long-term track records.

During the past 15 years, the Osterweis stock fund returned 9.5% annually, outdoing 97% of competitors in the mid blend category, according to Morningstar. The record is particularly notable since the fund has maintained low risk scores and excelled in downturns. During the turmoil of 2008, the stock fund outdid competitors by a wide margin.

The Osterweis bond fund is a go-anywhere portfolio that can hold bonds of all kinds. In recent years, the portfolio manager has emphasized short-term high-yield bonds. Those yield more than Treasuries — without taking big risks. During the past five years, the fund has returned 6.8% annually, outdoing 66% of peers.

Stadion Managed Portfolio follows market momentum. When a rally begins, the portfolio managers start buying stocks. In a strong uptrend, the fund can hold up to 100% of assets in stocks. When markets begin dipping, the portfolio managers start shifting to fixed income. During much of 2008, Stadion had all its assets in cash. For the year, the fund lost 5.8%, outdoing the Standard & Poor’s 500 by about 31 percentage points. During the past five years, the fund has outdone the S&P 500 by a half a percentage point annually while taking much less risk than the benchmark.

Because the Stadion managers move into stocks gradually, they can trail most competitors in strong rallies. “We don’t expect to outperform all the time,” says portfolio manager Brad Thompson. “Our goal is to provide downside protection and deliver a return stream that is not correlated with most equity funds.”

By considering momentum and other factors, Virtus Premium AlphaSector determines its allocation. The portfolio managers estimate the outlook for each of the S&P 500′s nine industry sectors, including financials and technology. If the forecast is positive for an industry, then the fund takes a position in the sector. When the outlook is poor, the fund avoids the sector. If only three sectors are positive, the fund would have 25% of assets in each sector and 25% in cash. When no sectors seem attractive, the fund can have 100% in cash.

While the approach of Virtus is very unusual, it is beginning to attract a wide following. Introduced in 2010, the fund now has $3.2 billion in assets and ranked as one of the top-selling funds in 2011. “Investors are looking for funds that have the capacity to outperform the S&P 500 when the market is down,” says portfolio manager Howard Present.

The Street

ON ELITE TV

Elite Daily Is The Premiere Destination For Generation Y

More In News

World

HBO’s ‘The Newsroom’ Predicted And Broke Down The NSA’s PRISM Program Last Year (Video)

“The Simpsons Movie” didn’t contain the only pop culture reference to the NSA that predicted the warrantless wiretapping and surveillance of American citizens, as HBO’s “The Newsroom” had an intimate scene describing the exact situation we’re currently dealing with. The scene takes place in the New York Public Library as Charlie Skinner secretly meets with [...]

World

Mutual Breakup: Obama And Putin Agree To Stop Speaking To Each Other

The much-anticipated G8 Summit in Northern Ireland came to an end yesterday, and we are happy to report that President Obama and Vladimir Putin have finally agreed on something: to never speak to each other again. The two devised a contract that states that each of them cannot be in the same room as each [...]

Politics

Did President Obama Hint At Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke Stepping Down?

Former Federal Reserve Governor Laurence Meyer made the bold claim on CNBC’s “Fast Money” that President Barack Obama “essentially fired” Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke. “I almost fell off my chair when I heard the president’s remarks last night,” Meyer said on Tuesday of President Obama’s televised remarks on Monday. “He essentially fired Ben Bernanke on [...]

World

New Stockings That Resemble Hairy Legs Help Chinese Girls Avoid Rapists

Women in China are taking extreme measures to avoid being sexually assaulted, as the threat of attack has become overwhelming. Now, a Chinese company has developed stockings that resemble hairy legs to ward off potential rapists. Shanghai-based website ChinaSMACK posted an image of a model wearing the bizarre stockings, which was originally posted on the [...]

Also On Elite

Technology

Apple Gives Mac Users More Efficiency With New OS X Mavericks

While the focus was expected to be on the announcement of the new iOS 7, Apple threw a curveball at their most loyal of customers with the revealing of OS X Mavericks. Speaking at Apple’s Worldwide Developers Conference (WWDC), Apple CEO Tim Cook announced the new operating system for Mac, which will feature a slew [...]

Money

Emotions And Success: Can Women Be Great Leaders?

Many of you have probably heard the argument that women are less capable of being in positions of power — in positions of leadership — than men. The argument is that women are more emotional than men and therefore are less capable of controlling their emotions. I believe this to be a load of crap. [...]

Technology

We Spoke Too Soon: Google Bans Porn App For Google Glass

Just last week, we heard about the first-ever porn app for Google Glass, which finally debuted yesterday. It’s called Tits & Glass and it allows users to record themselves having sex or engaging in foreplay from their own perspective. But just hours after its release, Google banned all sexually explicit content from Google Glass. There [...]

Politics

Did President Obama Hint At Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke Stepping Down?

Former Federal Reserve Governor Laurence Meyer made the bold claim on CNBC’s “Fast Money” that President Barack Obama “essentially fired” Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke. “I almost fell off my chair when I heard the president’s remarks last night,” Meyer said on Tuesday of President Obama’s televised remarks on Monday. “He essentially fired Ben Bernanke on [...]

Sports

Dwight Howard And Company Audition For Movie Roles (Video)

It’s no secret that professional sports are filled with a bunch of actors. There’s no shame in that. As much as these guys love the game, they have developed a certain affinity to the spotlight that they look for beyond just ball. And thanks to the good guys over at Relativity Sports, some of the [...]